I agree with Capt. Hickman. The only opinion worth having right now is regarding what we do know. We know the fires are pushing the extreme edge of the yardstick, we know lots of human resources and equipment are committed to suppressing these fires, we know the federal government is spending tons of money to support the suppression effort, and we know they will be spending tons more to build new homes, rebuild communities, and pay for lots of therepy. We also know, they will act in the extreme; as has been done, to suspend all prescribed burning west of the 100th meridian, regardless if conditions are perfect for a well executed, and responsible prescribed fire. And to allow that one to occur, it will have to be approved by someone who doesn't know much to nothing about fire use anyway. We know they are on a head hunt. Someone will be exposed, and they will be held accountable, somehow ... an agency administrator is always good for a public hanging. We know they will stand fast on the federal fire policy and the need to increase burned acres. We know they will continue to fast track folks into prescribed fire and suppression positions, without concern for experience. We know they will continue to promote unqualified administrators into positions that have fire responsibilities, and we know they will continue to require some training for those same people and call it good. If you look at what we do know, I would say something like this was very predictable, as much as we hate to admit it, it will happen again. Not because we didn't study the problem of setting a risky fire, not because we didn't investigate the situation, and not because someone was held accountable. Mostly because we did not investigate the real problem and hold politically driven administrators and legislators accountable for poor policy and unreasonable expectations of the workforce. I'm not saying this justifies a bad decision, I am saying that we have been boxed in with so many restrictions and constraints, policy changes, mandates, and requirements, that it's diffult to make good decisions anymore. We write burn plans so we are solvent in court, but they become so restrictive, that sometimes the only time to burn is under risky conditions. No excuse for what happened, but I've been on the doing side of this issue for years, and it only gets worse.
[This message has been edited by monte (edited May 15, 2000).]
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